Raw evidence — live prices, yields, spreads, and calendar events — that every later stage reads from. A ⚠/⛔ banner appears at the top of the app whenever an input is materially older than the rest (ⓘ what fresh/degraded/stale/invalid mean) — computation itself is never silently skipped, only flagged.

A market regime is ZNMacro's classification of the current macro/market environment (e.g. "Selective Risk-On") — a read on present conditions, not a forecast. Historical Analog (below) grounds this page's regime read in precedent — expand it to run or review, then Generate Thesis. Thesis Ledger (also below) tracks every past thesis and what changed.

Generate your thesis to see it here.

Scores 10 sector ETFs across three layers: historical analog support, technical structure, and macro regime fit. Each runs 0-100; a higher combined conviction score means stronger current alignment across those layers — not a return forecast. Run Historical Analog first for full conviction scoring.

Run sector rotation analysis to see it here.

A Candidate is a security that currently satisfies ZNMacro's model criteria strongly enough to rank — a research output, not a recommendation to buy or sell. Regime confidence, sector conviction, ticker quality, and setup quality are shown as separate signals, never blended into one number — a strong overall score does not mean every layer agrees. This list is a separate system from the "Generate & save daily snapshot" button above (that's Snapshot Replay, an unrelated feature).

Sort by ⓘ Overall opportunity Sector conviction Regime confidence Ticker quality — relative strength Ticker quality — technical structure

Load candidates to see the top-ranked tickers from the latest candidate data build, or build a fresh one below.

Read-only view of the Trade Plan Engine's persisted records (feature_specs/trade-plans-ui.md, feature_specs/v7.6-trade-plan-engine.md) — entry trigger, stop, targets, and captured Trade Thesis for every ticker+setup the Opportunity Validation Engine has approved. Plans only ever change state during a Market Snapshot Builder run; nothing here can be edited or closed from this tab.

Small-sample, early-stage live record — not a validated trading edge. Figures reflect actual tracked outcomes to date, not a backtest or a projection. ⓘ What's an R-multiple?

Observed hit rate and excess return by regime/sector/quality tier, current engine cohort only. "(low confidence)" marks sample sizes below the reporting threshold — treat those cells as directional, not conclusive. ⓘ What do these terms mean?

Generates all four publishing outputs simultaneously from your thesis and live data. Run Thesis Engine and Historical Analog first for best results.

Auto-detected from where this page is hosted (api.znmacro.com in production, localhost:8788 for local API dev, the public Worker URL otherwise). Only change this if you're pointing at a different environment.

Optional — no password, no account required to use ZNMacro. A 6-digit code is emailed to you and expires in 10 minutes. Unrelated to Founder Mode/Publishing authorization below.